See the probabilities for the matches of the next round of the Premier League. Additionally, check the standings table along with the probabilities for each team at the bottom of the page.

The calculations are made using conditional probabilities throughout the championship.

Probabilities for next round

Round 30

Home Team	PHW	PD	PAW	Away Team
Brighton	34.543	35.943	29.514	Aston Villa
Newcastle Utd	41.410	23.389	35.200	Brentford
Southampton	19.405	15.228	65.367	Crystal Palace
Liverpool	44.507	36.804	18.688	Everton
Arsenal	48.454	25.375	26.171	Fulham
Bournemouth	47.303	19.633	33.065	Ipswich Town
Manchester City	58.644	24.979	16.376	Leicester City
Nott'ham Forest	41.441	33.876	24.682	Manchester Utd
Chelsea	46.066	29.023	24.911	Tottenham
Wolves	29.497	30.342	40.160	West Ham

PHW: Probability of Home Team Win;
PD: Probability of Draw;
PAW: Probability of Away Team Win;

Probabilities by Team

			Home team			Away team
	Team	Pts	PWH	PDH	PLH	PWA	PDA	PLA
1	Liverpool	70	60.729	27.704	11.567	45.947	24.943	29.110
2	Arsenal	58	54.717	28.691	16.591	19.887	58.887	21.226
3	Nott'ham Forest	54	45.856	34.380	19.764	21.770	56.121	22.109
4	Chelsea	49	43.877	34.861	21.262	13.814	32.846	53.340
5	Manchester City	48	47.867	35.860	16.274	20.835	46.296	32.869
6	Newcastle Utd	47	51.623	17.996	30.381	41.362	26.315	32.323
7	Brighton	47	44.926	33.484	21.590	25.570	35.443	38.987
8	Fulham	45	31.924	30.890	37.186	35.751	22.059	42.190
9	Aston Villa	45	31.955	56.790	11.255	37.438	38.402	24.160
10	Bournemouth	44	34.482	23.555	41.963	28.900	43.347	27.753
11	Brentford	41	20.196	38.838	40.966	40.020	28.783	31.197
12	Crystal Palace	39	26.472	35.486	38.042	52.086	21.485	26.429
13	Manchester Utd	37	27.359	29.048	43.594	29.601	33.373	37.026
14	Tottenham	34	21.563	35.679	42.758	28.560	23.186	48.255
15	Everton	34	21.530	58.004	20.466	25.810	45.905	28.286
16	West Ham	34	24.240	26.496	49.265	26.741	33.635	39.625
17	Wolves	26	19.370	27.050	53.580	29.365	18.787	51.849
18	Ipswich Town	17	12.988	21.530	65.482	24.167	15.710	60.123
19	Leicester City	17	13.335	15.705	70.960	16.479	14.099	69.422
20	Southampton	9	12.382	8.971	78.648	12.263	17.467	70.270

PWH: Probability of Win when Home team;
PDH: Probability of Draw when Home team;
PLH: Probability of Lose when Home team;
PWA: Probability of Win when Away team;
PDA: Probability of Draw when Away team;
PLA: Probability of Lose when Away team;

Probabilities from previous rounds